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Effects of Systemic Constraints

Many political economists have analyzed the overall systemic constraints imposed by macroeconomic characteristics of the economy, constraints that create the environment in which individual decision makers have to make decisions about prices and especially about the sizes of markups.

These systemic constraints relate to both overall levels of aggregate demand prevailing at any moment of time (arising from the interplay of real, monetary and financial factors) and from the relationships in the sphere of distribution and exchange outlined above. They result in the formation of norms, of ranges of behav­ior within which it is possible to make choices.

Within this aspect of the analysis, I have in mind the links between discretion over price setting and the need to raise internal finance for planned accumulation. These ideas are especially associated with Jim Ball (1964), Al Eichner (1973, 1976), Adrian Wood (1975) and Peter Kenyon and myself (1976). My conjecture is that the Sraffa prices at each moment of time are both the systemic and individual industry and firm con­straints within which these decisions have to be made.

In the long-period interpretation of Sraffa prices, the long-period structure of prices is seen to be in the outcome of persistent processes. Is this not inconsistent with, or at least unable to cope with, the impact of continuous technical change and fluctuations in aggregate demand on the economy and on the structure of Sraffa prices? The snapshot view overcomes this but, of course, carries with it the danger that if the characteristics of the snapshots vary widely from period to period because of the impact of changing levels of activity and technical variations in investment to labor and investment to output ratios, the establishment of general norms that guide behavior will not occur.

This last consideration brings to the surface a problem that plagued Keynes, his ulti­mate despair of ever being able to find a definite unit of time with which he could han­dle the analysis of all the interrelated processes he had emphasized in the development of his revolutionary theory of the workings of a monetary production economy in The General Theory and afterwards.

He decided therefore never to push any particular piece of analysis very far past its starting point, so as to get the central message across. In his 1937 lectures, as Kregel (1976, 213) has documented, Keynes said that if he were to write the book again, he would start with the factors responsible for existence, as we would say now, in order “to distinguish the forces determining the position of equilibrium from the technique of trial and error by means of which the [entrepreneurs discover] where the position is” (1937, 182). The upshot is that instability and indeterminateness may persist in certain historical time periods, in a sense the analogue of modern general equilibrium theorists finding multiple positions of equilibrium in many parts of their analysis.

That certain time periods are characterized by instability or even crisis is, of course, not a surprising inference to be drawn from any relevant theoretical structure and approach to the analysis of economic systems. (That it was not an inference of the dom­inant theoretical structure is a major criticism of its failure to predict the recent global financial crisis (Harcourt, 2010).) Certainly, I do not think Sraffa would have been either surprised or dismayed by such an inference. I also conjecture that these suggestions fit well into, indeed supplement sensibly, the structures of Goodwin’s and (late) Kalecki’s cyclical growth models.

The contributions of other great thinkers from the last century are also relevant here. I start with Dennis Robertson. One of his criticisms of what he saw as the Keynesians attempting to sustain full employment and attain a steady rate of growth arose from his understanding of the real business cycle he argued formed the foundations for the processes at work in modern economies. He pointed out that when we consider a inter­related production economy—which has different lengths of gestation periods for the construction of machines in different sectors and their accompanying methods of use, and different economic lifetimes of their operation—it is just not possible to conceive that the aggregate outcome of their operation would be either full employment of labor over time or steady growth of output over time (Anyadike-Danes, 1985).

In his 1975 book on Keynes, Hyman Minsky discerned in Keynes’s approach an endogenous cyclical mechanism that not only took in Robertson’s insights but also added to the real story a sophisticated analysis of the interrelationship of real monetary and financial factors asso­ciated with Keynes’s insistence that the latter be included right from the start of the anal­ysis. These contributions are complementary to the Goodwin/Kalecki growth cycles, which contain both theories of accumulation and the distribution of income that are as much Marxian as Keynesian and that spell out the implications in the sphere of distri­bution and exchange of the dominance of the sphere of production mentioned above. Moreover, Goodwin ultimately brought together the aggregate analysis of Keynes with the production interdependence insights of Sraffa and Wassily Leontief (see Goodwin and Punzo, 1987; Goodwin had made major separate contributions to both these two approaches over his lifetime).

I understand that Sraffa, unlike some of his followers, had great respect and liking for Kalecki, as did Maurice Dobb. In the late 1930s, Sraffa worked with Kalecki on pricing in UK manufacturing industries. Goodwin (1983, chaps. 7 and 8) also was influenced by and wrote on Sraffa’s approaches, so it is pleasing that these three great original political economists may and should be agreeably brought together in a deeper understanding of the processes at work in modern capitalism.

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Source: Corsi M., Kregel J., D’Ippoliti C. (Eds.). Classical Economics Today: Essays in Honor of Alessandro Roncaglia. Anthem Press,2018. — 275 p. 2018

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