Baring’s and Thornton’s replies; King’s and Wheatley’s developments (1801-03)
Baring, a private banker in London, answered Boyd’s pamphlet by publishing Observations on the publication of Walter Boyd (1801). He agreed that the suspension of payments could permit the Bank to over-issue, but denied that this had yet been the case.
In an earlier article, Observations on the Establishment of the Bank of England and on Paper circulation in the Country (1797), where the French phrase “dernier ressort” (last resort) was used for the first time to qualify the working of the Bank of England, Baring advocated the suspension of payments and at the same time warned that excessive monetary expansion would be inflationary. In 1801, he agreed with Boyd that the Bank of England, and not the country banks, would be solely to blame in the event of over-issue, but drawing on Adam Smith’s banking analysis, he claimed that the paper money issued by the Bank after 1797 never exceeded the wants and needs of the public, and that the Bank did not operate to produce any increase in the price of goods. According to Baring, the increase of £3.5 million in the circulation of Bank of England notes mentioned by Boyd was the result of the growing prosperity of the country.Above all, Baring contested Boyd’s theory of the effect of the exchange rate on prices and emphasized the absence of any premium on guineas. First, he contrasted the relatively small deterioration in the exchange with Hamburg with the sharp rise in commodity prices. According to him, Boyd’s argument could not explain this contrast. Although he agreed that a fall in the exchange rate “produces a good effect, by furnishing the means of exporting a larger quantity of goods and merchandise”, he believed it to have “no influence or effect upon the price of corn grown in this country [England]” (Baring 1801: 20). Second, he pointed out that the prices of goods in paper money were no higher than the prices in gold, and that this was proof of “perfect and entire” confidence in the Bank.
According to Baring, banknotes circulating at par cannot cause a rise in the price of corn.In April 1802, there was a parliamentary debate on a bill aiming to extend the restriction until 1803. The same year, Thornton, a Member of Parliament allied with the Tories, and also a private banker in London and supporter of the Bank of England’s policy, published his Inquiry into the Nature and Effect of the Paper Credit of Great Britain. Thornton began to write the book after the suspension of payments, in order to justify it, but before the market prices of bullion began to rise. The publication of Boyd’s pamphlet convinced him to complete his inquiry by dealing with the subject of exchange and precious metal prices. In reply to Boyd, Thornton explained that a high price of bullion can occur even when there is no over-issue of notes pushing up the prices of goods; that the high price of bullion is the effect of falling exchange rates, and that exchange rates may fall as a consequence of financial outflows or bad harvests. His conclusion was that the high price of bullion was linked to the foreign war expenditures.
However, when the book was published, the debate about Boyd’s pamphlet was over. In fact, Thornton participated in the controversy about the Irish currency exchange rate, when in 1803 it became unfavourable to the unprecedented degree of over 10 per cent, abandoning the old parity of 108.33 Dublin pounds to 100 English pounds. These fluctuations provoked a new discussion both in Parliament and in pamphlets about the relation between prices and exchange rates. In March 1804, the House of Commons appointed a committee to investigate the state of the Irish currency and the exchange relations between Ireland and England. Henry Thornton played a leading role on the committee.
Before the Irish crisis, King had published several pamphlets in accordance with the bullionist thesis, one of them entitled Thoughts on the Restriction of Payments in Specie at the Banks of England and Ireland (London 1803).
King left aside Boyd’s theory of the effect on food prices of the excess of banknotes, and considered that the high market price of bullion and the low exchange rate are “in conjunction the most accurate criterion of... [the] depreciated state of the currency” (quoted by Fetter 1965: 37). King affirmed that there was an excess of banknotes but did not describe any mechanism that could explain the relationship between this excess, the depreciating exchange rate and the high price of bullion. At about the same time, Wheatley entered the controversy with his Remarks on Currency and Commerce (1803). He later published his Essay on the Theory of Money and Principles of Commerce (1805). Wheatley anticipated Ricardo’s bullionist argument that the depreciation of exchange rates cannot be caused by foreign payments alone, but can only occur in the context of, and as a consequence of, the falling value of money. This arises in the event of over-issue, which leads to the departure of specie.