References and further reading

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Arrow, K.J. (1951), ‘Alternative approaches to the theory of choice in risk-taking situations’, Econometrica, 19 (4), 404-37.

Arrow, K.J. (1965), Aspects of the Theory of Risk-Bearing, Helsinki: Yrjδ Jahnssonin Saatiδ.

Baccini, A. (1997), ‘Edgeworth on the fundamentals of choice under uncertainty’, History of Economic Ideas, 5 (2), 27-51.

Baccini, A. (2001), ‘Frequentist probability and choice under uncertainty’, History of Political Economy, 33 (4), 743-72.

Baccini, A. (2004), ‘High pressure and black clouds: Keynes and the frequentist theory of probability’, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 28 (5), 653-66.

Baccini, A. (2007), ‘Edgeworth on the foundations of ethics and probability’, European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 14 (1), 79-96.

Baccini, A. (2009), ‘F.Y. Edgeworth’s treatise on probabilities’, History of Political Economy, 41 (1), 143-62.

Baccini, A. (2011), ‘Francis Ysidro Edgeworth on the regularity of law and the impartiality of chance’, in T. Boylan, R. Prendergast and J. Turner (eds), A History of Irish Economic Thought, London: Routledge, pp. 233-48.

Bain, A. (1859), The Emotions and the Will, London: J.W. Parker and Son.

Barberis, N.C. (2013), ‘Thirty years of prospect theory in economics: a review and assessment’, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27 (1), 173-95.

Bateman, B.W. (1996), Keynes’s Uncertain Revolution, Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press.

Baumol, W.J. (1951), ‘The Neumann-Morgenstern Utility Index - an ordinalist view’, Journal of Political Economy, 59 (1), 61-6.

Bernoulli, D. (1738), ‘Specimen Theoria Nova de Mensura Sortis’, English trans. 1954, ‘Exposition of a new theory on the measurement of risk’, Econometrica, 22 (1), 23-36.

Binmore, K.G. (2009), Rational Decisions, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

Brady, M.E. (1993), ‘J.M. Keynes’s theoretical approach to decision-making under conditions of risk and uncertainty’, British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 44 (2), 357-76.

Cournot, A.A. (1843), Exposition de la Theorie des Chances et des Probabilites, Paris: Hachette.

David, F.N. (1962), Games, Gods and Gambling. A History of Probability and Statistical Ideas, London: Charles Griffin.

De Finetti, B. (1937), ‘La prevision: ses lois logiques, ses sources subjectives’, Annales de l’Institute Henry Poincare, 7 (1), 1-68.

De Morgan, A. (1838), An Essay on Probabilities, and Their Application to Life Contingencies and Insurance Offices, new edn, The Cabinet Cyclopedia vol. 13, London: Longman, Orme, Brown, Greens & Longmans). De Morgan, A. (1847), ‘Theory of probabilities’, The Encyclopaedia of Pure Mathematics forming part of the Encyclopaedia Metropolitana, Glasgow: Griffin, pp. 393-490.

Ellsberg, D. (1954), ‘Classic and current notions of “measurable utility”’, The Economic Journal, 64 (255), 528-56. Ellsberg, D. (1961), ‘Risk, ambiguity, and the savage axioms’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 75 (4), 643-69. Fishburn, P.C. (1989), ‘Retrospective on the utility theory of von Neumann and Morgenstern’, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2 (2), 127-57.

Friedman, M. and L.J. Savage (1948), ‘The utility analysis of choices involving risk’, Journal of Political Economy, 56 (4), 279-304.

Fry, C.L. and R.B. Ekelund Jr (1971), ‘Cournot’s demand theory: a reassessment’, History of Political Economy, 3 (1), 190-97.

Gilboa, I. (2009), Theory of Decision under Uncertainty, Econometric Society monographs, Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.

Gilboa, I. and D. Schmeidler (1995), ‘Case-based decision theory’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110 (3), 605-39.

Hacking, I. (1975), The Emergence of Probability: A Philosophical Study of Early Ideas about Probability, Induction and Statistical Inference, London and New York: Cambridge University Press.

Huygens, C. (1657), De Ratiociniis in Ludo Aleae (The Value of all Chances in Games of Fortune; Cards, Dice, Wagers, Lotteries & C. Mathematically Demonstrated), English trans. 1714, London: Keimer and Woodward.

Jevons, W.S. (1874), The Principles of Science: A Treatise on Logic and Scientific Method, 2 vols, London: Macmillan.

Jevons, W.S. (1879), The Theory of Political Economy, 3rd edn, London: Macmillan.

Kahneman, D. (2011), Thinking, Fast and Slow, New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux.

Kahneman, D. and A. Tversky (1979), ‘Prospect theory: an analysis of decision under risk’, Econometrica, 47 (2), 262-91.

Keynes, J.M. (1921), A Treatise on Probability, London: Macmillan.

Laplace, P.S. (1812), Theorie analytique desprobabilites, Paris and Brussels: Culture et civilisation.

Machina, M.J. (2008), ‘Non-expected utility theory’, in S.N. Durlauf and L.E. Blume (eds), The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan.

Marschak, J. (1938), ‘Money and the theory of assets’, Econometrica, 6 (4), 311-25.

Marshall, A. (1890), Principles of Economics, 2 vols, 9th variorum edn 1961, London and New York: Macmillan for the Royal Economic Society.

Moore, G.E. (1903), Principia Ethica, Cambridge, Cambridge University Press.

Pascal, B. (1670), Pensees, Paris: Guillaume Depriez, reprinted 1985, Oxford: Oxford University Press.

Pigou, A.C. (1924), The Economics of Welfare, 2nd edn, London: Macmillan.

Pratt, J.W. (1964), ‘Risk aversion in the small and in the large’, Econometrica, 32 (1/2), 122-36.

Ramsey, F.P. (1926), ‘Truth and probability’, The Foundations of Mathematics and other Logical Essays, reprinted 1931, London: Kegan Paul, pp. 156-98.

Samuelson, P.A. (1977), ‘St. Petersburg paradoxes: defanged, dissected, and historically described’, Journal of Economic Literature, 15 (1), 24-55.

Savage, L.J. (1954), The Foundations of Statistics, 2nd revised edn 1972, New York: Dover Publications.

Schlee, E.E.

Schmeidler, D. (1989), ‘Subjective probability and expected utility without additivity’, Econometrica, 57 (3), 571-87.

Schoemaker, P.J.H. (1982), ‘The expected utility model: its variants, purposes, evidence and limitations’, Journal of Economic Literature, 20 (2), 529-63.

Shackle, G.L.S. (1952), Expectation in Economics, 2nd edn, Cambridge: Cambridge: University Press.

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Von Neumann, J. and O. Morgenstern (1944), Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.

Von Neumann, J. and O. Morgenstern (1953), Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, 3rd edn, Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.